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Yes, there is apparently an International Society for Bayesian Analysis
Somehow, I'd never come across this before, but there are people who are way more into Bayesian Theory than I am. I guess I shouldn't be...
Will the wall crush Social Security too?
There is, one area where short-term government policy will have a big impact on demographic assumptions: immigration.
Volume 8: Health Insurance, Part IV
While the ACA has problems – serious ones – it is a fact that in the seven years since it has passed, the Republican Party has not come up w
Still no exchange death spiral
But "death spiral" is not just a couple random words. Like most things in the English language, these words actually mean somethin
On Russia
Well, maybe this presidency is more like "The Americans" than reality TV. I don't want to get too newsy at a serious publication like...
The return of employer-sponsored insurance?
It's actually more difficult than you'd think to figure out how many people have health insurance. Government programs publish data,
Volume 7: Bayesian Analysis
Why You Can Never Be Sure of Anything “Bet you $50 it hasn't.” – xkcd #1132 People don’t like thinking probabilistically. They crave...
Concerning tax plans of the phenomenal variety
I think it's of note that Trump's assurance that his "phenomenal" tax plan is almost ready caused markets to jump on the e
Even more technical detail about Social Security
So I've been meaning to give an update on Social Security since writing Volume 1, but hadn't gotten around to it. But I found a very...
L7 scoops the NYTimes!
So New York Times is not yet quoting Lobby Seven Commentary. But, maybe they should, because we scooped them, writing a "Grading...
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