Volume 25: Back to the House
A bigger and better log-loss comparative analysis of quantitative and qualitative projections for the 2020 U.S. House of Representatives...
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Volume 24: The 2018 Election, Who Projected It Best?
A log-loss comparative analysis of quantitative and qualitative 2018 U.S. House of Representatives election projections “Well, how did...
Volume 23: 1918, An Alternative History
“It has been a close run thing – the nearest run thing you ever saw in your life,” – Arthur Wellesley, Duke of Wellington.
Volume 22: Bitcoin
Many individuals grew suddenly rich. A golden bait hung temptingly out before the people.
Volume 21: The Post Office
Neither by Snow, nor Rain, nor Heat, nor Darkness “The post office, or any world of work, is only one institutionalized system of control...
Volume 20: Secession
I am loath to close. We are not enemies, but friends. We must not be enemies. Though passion may have strained it must not break our bonds o
Volume 19: The Efficient Market Hypothesis
It's Why You (Probably) Can't Beat the Market “The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient,” –...
Volume 18: Robert E. Lee
“Obedience to lawful authority is the foundation of manly character.”
Volume 17: Campaign Finance
We can tell an entire history of the United States, parallel to the one you learned in high school, looking only at how money affects politi
Volume 16: Game Theory and the Nuclear Age: Part II
Somehow – and sometimes despite our best efforts – there was no nuclear holocaust. This is the story of how we avoided it and of whether we’
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