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Volume 24: The 2018 Election, Who Projected It Best?
A log-loss comparative analysis of quantitative and qualitative 2018 U.S. House of Representatives election projections “Well, how did your projections do?” – Dale Cohodes. It will come as a shock to nobody that I maintained a personal set of projections for the recently completed elections to the House of Representatives. It may surprise you more to know that reviewing my projections alongside the so-called “professionals” gives us an excellent opportunity to think through o