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Final House Ratings!
We're almost there. After an election cycle that seems to have lasted longer than an ice age, we'll finally start counting some votes....


Volume 25: Back to the House
A bigger and better log-loss comparative analysis of quantitative and qualitative projections for the 2020 U.S. House of Representatives...

Volume 24: The 2018 Election, Who Projected It Best?
A log-loss comparative analysis of quantitative and qualitative 2018 U.S. House of Representatives election projections “Well, how did...


The Book Launch Party
For once, we go light on the words and heavy on the images. For everybody who was able to able to join for the party, my profound thanks...


Volume 23: 1918, An Alternative History
“It has been a close run thing – the nearest run thing you ever saw in your life,” – Arthur Wellesley, Duke of Wellington.

![How [Not?] to Write a Book](https://static.wixstatic.com/media/bac731_ee6653798b2b4b4fb4e9363cc0f444ce~mv2_d_2928_3600_s_4_2.jpg/v1/fill/w_248,h_186,fp_0.50_0.50,q_90,enc_auto/bac731_ee6653798b2b4b4fb4e9363cc0f444ce~mv2_d_2928_3600_s_4_2.webp)
How [Not?] to Write a Book
Time to bring the professionals in.


Volume 22: Bitcoin
Many individuals grew suddenly rich. A golden bait hung temptingly out before the people.

The Iran Deal
Our reality TV presidency is nearing its zenith. With John Bolton joining the inner sanctum of our national security team, we will have...

Russia's Managed Democracy
As you may be aware, Russia yesterday held its presidential “election” and, as was widely expected, Vladimir Putin was “elected”...


Trumpcare in Action
As we all remember well, Donald Trump and the Republican Party failed to repeal the Affordable Care Act via legislation. As we also know,...
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